Posts Tagged ‘Sticking my neck out (prediction time)’
Local Elections predictions
Along with hundreds of othesr in England and Wales many of our councillors in South Tyneside are facing the voters at the ballot box today. The results expected around midnight will be based largely on Labour’s stewardship of our local economy and its efforts to stay within government spending guidelines in order to keep council taxes frozen, they will also be coloured a little by national political trends which don’t auger well for the two constituent parties of the coalition government.
With only one Conservative councillor, and no Liberal Democratic councillors, after the decision of Joe Abbott to stand as an independent, we shouldn’t expect any miraculous results from the coalition partners around here, but I am predicting that Jeff Milburn will hold his seat in Cleadon Village and East Boldon for the Conservatives, unfortunately for Joe Abbott I’m going to stick my neck out and predict that he may well lose in Hebburn North. The rest of my predictions will not come as any major surprise, I see a victorious night for the Labour Party as the votes are counted in South Shields and Jarrow, the opposition is in for a tough old time! I’m predicting a battering, a hammering, with the Independent Alliance and Progressives almost wiped off the map.
- Beacon and Bents – All eyes will be on this result which could be very close to call, but I’m predicting a Labour win for former Mayor John Anglin .
- Bede – Labour hold
- Biddick and All Saints – Labour hold
- Boldon Colliery – Labour hold
- Cleadon and East Boldon – Conservative hold
- Cleadon Park – Labour hold
- Fellgate and Hedworth – Labour win from Independent Alliance
- Harton – Labour win from Progessive
- Hebburn North – Labour win from Lib/Dem
- Hebburn South – Labour hold.
- Horsley Hill – another one very close to call, Labour win from Independent Alliance
- Monkton – Independent Alliance hold
- Primrose – Labour hold
- Simonside and Rekendyke – Labour to hold two seats following the death of Joan Meeks
- West Park – Labour win from Progressive
- Westoe – Labour win from Independent Alliance (no Branley effect this year)
- Whitburn and Marsden – Labour hold
- Whiteleas – Independent hold, but it could be very tight.
Well, they are my predictions, which would see the Independent Alliance, the Progressives, Lib-Dems, UKIP, and Conservatives fighting to fill the area of an average park bench, if you disagree then please say why.