Curly's Corner Shop, the blog!

South Shields premier political blog

South Tyneside goes to the polls today

with 10 comments

Local Elections predictions

Along with hundreds of othesr in England and Wales many of our councillors in South Tyneside are facing the voters at the ballot box today. The results expected around midnight will be based largely on Labour’s stewardship of our local economy and its efforts to stay within government spending guidelines in order to keep council taxes frozen, they will also be coloured a little by national political trends which don’t auger well for the two constituent parties of the coalition government.

With only one Conservative councillor, and no Liberal Democratic councillors, after the decision of Joe Abbott to stand as an independent, we shouldn’t expect any miraculous results from the coalition partners around here, but I am predicting that Jeff Milburn will hold his seat in Cleadon Village and East Boldon for the Conservatives, unfortunately for Joe Abbott I’m going to stick my neck out and predict that he may well lose in Hebburn North. The rest of my predictions will not come as any major surprise, I see a victorious night for the Labour Party as the votes are counted in South Shields and Jarrow, the opposition is in for a tough old time! I’m predicting a battering, a hammering, with the Independent Alliance and Progressives almost wiped off the map.

  • Beacon and Bents – All eyes will be on this result which could be very close to call, but I’m predicting a Labour win for former Mayor John Anglin .
  • Bede – Labour hold
  • Biddick and All Saints – Labour hold
  • Boldon Colliery – Labour hold
  • Cleadon and East Boldon – Conservative hold
  • Cleadon Park – Labour hold
  • Fellgate and Hedworth – Labour win from Independent Alliance
  • Harton – Labour win from Progessive
  • Hebburn North – Labour win from Lib/Dem
  • Hebburn South – Labour hold.
  • Horsley Hill – another one very close to call, Labour win from Independent Alliance
  • Monkton – Independent Alliance hold
  • Primrose – Labour hold
  • Simonside and Rekendyke – Labour to hold two seats following the death of Joan Meeks
  • West Park – Labour win from Progressive
  • Westoe – Labour win from Independent Alliance (no Branley effect this year)
  • Whitburn and Marsden – Labour hold
  • Whiteleas – Independent hold, but it could be very tight.

Well, they are my predictions, which would see the Independent Alliance, the Progressives, Lib-Dems, UKIP, and Conservatives fighting to fill the area of an average park bench, if you disagree then please say why.

Remember, you have no right at all to complain about things if you do not take part and use your vote, a map of polling stations is available here, and the full list of candidates is available here.

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10 Responses

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  1. This is more up my street! Love your predictions. However, there could be some doubt that the Tories will hold Cleadon.

    Mrsdoasyouwouldbedoneby

    May 3, 2012 at 11:50 am

  2. I think indy`s will keep : Beacon & Bents / Fellgate & Hedworth. Whiteleas is very hard to judge.
    I think a shock in the bede ward & a shock in the boldon ward, But If not in both, It will be at least one of them. For horsley Hill i think the standing cllr will just pip it. Its going to be very tight in westoe, But Mr Thompson will get it. Thats only my opinion

    rob

    May 3, 2012 at 4:53 pm

    • How wrong was I?

      rob

      May 4, 2012 at 8:51 am

      • It was on the cards Rob, the national trend dictated that it would be a bumper night for Labour.

        curly

        May 4, 2012 at 10:03 am

  3. Good predictions overall, Curly. However I disagree with you on Beacon & Bents being a close call. I think Anglin will romp home. Although I could be wrong… just opinion.

    David Potts

    May 3, 2012 at 9:21 pm

  4. I also think HH will be easy for Labour.

    David Potts

    May 3, 2012 at 10:36 pm

  5. Sadly, nearly 11,500 people are following an ex Councillor’s twitter, the content of which, in my opinion, does little or nothing to promote a positive image of South Tyneside. Remember the LBJ quote about inside and outside the tent. Message of so many candidates “don’t vote Labour”, er that’s it. Several of my friends have said why don’t they put forward coherent policies and ideas for promoting and developing ST and try to engage with Labour and local residents in debating them constructively.

    Bridego Bridge

    May 4, 2012 at 11:20 am

    • This has been my central criticism for years about the opposition parties in South Tyneside, at least the Lib-Dems and Conservatives played the party line despite knowing that there was punishment in store for them, the Independent Alliance from day one offered little or no alternative policy at all, just mindless carping and negative comments, and many of a personal rather than strategic nature.

      curly

      May 4, 2012 at 11:39 am

      • I wonder what UKIPs local policies would be; the party appears to be supportive of local frontline services, teachers and the public sector; though understandably opposed to “non jobs” and what are perceived to be very highly paid executive jobs in local government and public sector.

        Bridego Bridge

        May 4, 2012 at 12:16 pm

  6. This may sound like a joke, but my Dad has offered to do Mr Swales’ job for free. He requests a week’s trial.

    David Potts

    May 9, 2012 at 1:48 am


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